GWP - SEISMIC PROSPECTING - 2

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Earthquake in Sumatra

Sumatra, event of Dec-26--2004; 00:58:53 UTC

Local time : 07:58:53 AM
Magnitude Mw: 9.0
Coordinates: 3.27° N, 95.82° E (NW of Sumatra)
Depth: 30 Km

OTHERS FACTS
- Epicenter in the south of the Burma microplate

- The earthquake moved the rotation Earth axe in 5 cm
- A tsunami of ~ 7 m that reached the South Asian coasts three hours later from the main event
- The earthquake left about 30000 death people and the tsunami left about 20000
- Five million victims of the disaster.
SeismoElectrical Phenomena


Nikolai Tarasov?

EGM: The Earthquakes Generating Machine

In the film "The Core" are shown the catatrophic consequences associated to the diminishing of the angular speed in the core of our planet. The rotation of the core permits the existence of the magnetosphere, which protects us of the radations heavier than the most intense UV rays. In the film is also shown the "why" in the diminishig of the speed in the rotation of the core: an ultrasecret army from the United States had developed an EGM that provoked them through Electromagnetic pulses. Thus they could quietly attack to any "enemy" country (Afghanistan, North Korea, etc.). However, the army overreacted and the shock waves went against of nucleus, provoking its slowness.

Fiction? WMD
Nowadays many scientist know how to create an earthquake withan efficiency of 2/3 (3 trials cause an average of seisms). Everything started in the 70's when a group of soviet scientists made a geoelectric mapping in the unstable zone of Takhijistan. The dipoles showed lengths of several kilometres and the injected currents were inmense. While the measures were made many seisms followed, but nobody made the correlation with the injection of current... upto 1993.

I) The SeismoElectrical correlation is discovered
In 1993 the scientist Nikolai Tarasov of the Physics Institute of the Earth in Moscow realised the correlation that existed between the injection of current and the beginning of a seism, which was "ilogical": the energy carried by the current was one million times lesser than the energy liberated by the seism. This is the same argument that is used (or it was used?) to make sure that the nuclear trials can't cause earthquakes. But there was still one possibility: May be the energy of the cuurent doesn't became an earthquake, but it "triggers one". Amazed by this hypothesis, Tarasov sought proofs to support it or refute it and he got some information from another geoelectric mapping made in 1980 in Tien Shan. Finally he made statistic and and discovered that the injection of intense current was able to trigger a seism in 2/3 of the times.
As it usually happens with the researches, Tarasov didn't take a long time to be head hunted by the USA and he is actually working in a group that makes researches on EGM.

MORE...

05-19-2005: Earthquake Forecasting System (Duncan Agnew, Nature)

The difficulty of predicting individual earthquakes accurately often obscures the progress made by seismologists studying the probability of earthquake occurrence. A new approach aims to keep the public in touch with what seismologists know. To coincide with the launch of a new short-term earthquake forecasting system for California, a new website (pasadena.wr.usgs.gov/step) gives a measure of the probability of strong shaking anywhere in California within the next 24 hours. The methodology combines an earthquake occurrence model based on fault data and historical earthquakes with a model of clustering. The resulting forecasts will provide a better understanding of the daily changes in earthquake hazard to the public, media and emergency planners.
News and Views: Earthquakes: Future shock in California
For California, probabilistic principles can be applied to the short-term forecasting of further ground-shaking following an earthquake. How such predictions will be used by the public remains to be seen. | MORE (spanish)

* October 2005: Valdivia Earthquake (Nature Magazine 437)
Authors: Marco Cisternas (UCV-Chile), Brian F. Atwater, Fernando Torrejón, Yuki Sawai, Gonzalo Machuca, Marcelo Lagos, Annaliese Eipert, Cristián Youlton, Ignacio Salgado, Takanobu Kamataki, Masanobu Shishikura, C. P. Rajendran, Javed K. Malik, Yan Rizal and Muhammad Husni.
"It is commonly thought that the longer the time since last earthquake, the larger the next earthquake's slip will be. But this logical predictor of earthquake size, unsuccessful for large earthquakes on a strike-slip fault, fails also with the giant 1960 Chile earthquake of magnitude 9.5. Although the time since the preceding earthquake spanned 123 years, the estimated slip in 1960, which occurred on a

fault between the Nazca and South American tectonic plates, equalled 350 years worth of the plate motion. Thus the average interval between such giant earthquakes on this fault should span several centuries. Here we present evidence that such long intervals were indeed typical of the last two millennia. We use buried soils and sand layers as records of tectonic subsidence and tsunami inundation at an estuary midway along the 1960 rupture. In these records, the 1960 earthquake ended a recurrence interval that had begun almost four centuries before, with an earthquake documented by Spanish conquistadors in 1575. Two later earthquakes, in 1737 and 1837, produced little if any subsidence or tsunami at the estuary and they therefore probably left the fault partly loaded with accumulated plate motion that the 1960 earthquake then expended". | MORE (spanish)


MYSTERY:
What phenomena could anticipate the incidence of a seism?