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Agosto de 2007
Surface wave tomography of the western United States from ambient seismic noise: Rayleigh wave group velocity maps
Authors: M. P. Moschetti, M. H. Ritzwoller et al
Link: Click Here

Abstract
We have applied ambient noise surface wave tomography to data that have emerged continuously from the EarthScope USArray Transportable Array (TA) between October 2004 and January 2007. Estimated Green's functions result by cross-correlating noise records between every station-pair in the network. The 340 stations yield a total of more than 55,000 interstation paths. Within the 5- to 50-s period band, we

measure the dispersion characteristics of Rayleigh waves using frequency-time analysis. High-resolution group velocity maps at 8-, 16-, 24-, 30-, and 40-s periods are presented for the western United States. The footprint of the TA encloses a region with a resolution of about the average interstation spacing (~70 km). Velocity anomalies in the group velocity maps correlate well with the dominant geological features of the western United States. Coherent velocity anomalies are associated with the Sierra Nevada, Peninsular, and Cascade Ranges, Great Valley, Salton Trough, and Columbia basins, the Columbia River flood basalts, the Snake River Plain and Yellowstone, and mantle wedge features associated with the subducting Juan de Fuca plate.

Agosto de 2007
Towards a universal rule on the recurrence interval scaling of repeating earthquakes?
Authors: Kate Huihsuan Chen, Robert M. Nadeau et al
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Abstract
A recent analysis of recurrence properties of small repeating earthquakes on a creeping oblique thrust fault in eastern Taiwan reveals a weak variation in recurrence interval (T r ) with seismic moment (M o ). Compared to the scaling of T r with M o from repeating earthquake data near

Parkfield in California, the repeating data from eastern Taiwan has recurrence intervals that are 2 times shorter. Also in northeastern Japan, T r of repeating quakes are ~4 times shorter than those expected from the Parkfield scaling law. When adjusted to account for differences in the geodetically derived slip rates for the three fault zones, however, the T r -M o scaling is remarkably consistent among the three regions. It suggests that the tectonic loading rate is likely the most important factor that controls the repeat time. It also suggests that there seems to exist a universal rule on recurrence interval scaling of repeating earthquakes in diverse tectonic settings.

Agosto de 2007
Joint inversion of teleseismic receiver functions and magnetotelluric data using a genetic algorithm: Are seismic velocities and electrical conductivities compatible?
Authors: M. Moorkamp, A. G. Jones et al
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Abstract
Joint inversion of different kinds of geophysical data has the potential to improve model resolution, under the assumption that the different observations are sensitive to the same subsurface features. Here, we examine the compatibility of P-wave teleseismic receiver

functions and long-period magnetotelluric (MT) observations, using joint inversion, to infer one-dimensional lithospheric structure. We apply a genetic algorithm to invert teleseismic and MT data from the Slave craton; a region where previous independent analyses of these data have indicated correlated layering of the lithosphere. Examination of model resolution and parameter trade-off suggests that the main features of this area, the Moho, Central Slave Mantle Conductor and the Lithosphere-Asthenosphere boundary, are sensed to varying degrees by both methods. Thus, joint inversion of these two complementary data sets can be used to construct improved models of the lithosphere. Further studies will be needed to assess whether the approach can be applied globally.

15 de Agosto de 2007
Terremoto en Perú

Según el USGS, correspondió a dos sismos consecutivo acaecidos el día 15 de agosto frente a las costas de Pisco (18:40:56 hora local de

Perú). El primer sismo comenzó a las 23:40:56 UTC con una magnitud Mw de 8.0, mientras que

el segundo comenzó a las 23:41:20 UTC con una magnitud Mw de 7.5.
Hipocentros
- Del primer sismo: 13.36º S, 76.52º W, Prof = 30.2 Km
- Del segundo sismo: 12.23º S, 76.65º W, Prof = 178.6 Km

Energía total liberada: 33 mil veces la energía liberada por la bomba atómica de Hiroshima.

Réplicas (hora local de Perú)
- 19:01: 5.6 Mw
- 19:21: 5.8 Mw
- 20:01: 5.8 Mw
- 20:31: 5.4 Mw

El evento principal incluyó un tsunami con una altura máxima en la localidad de Paracas, donde las olas alcanzaron los 5 m.

Agosto de 2007
Tsunami early warning using GPS-Shield arrays
Authors: Stephan V. Sobolev, Andrey Y. Babeyko et al
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Abstract
The 2004 catastrophic Indian Ocean tsunami has strongly emphasized the need for reliable tsunami early warning systems. Another giant tsunamigenic earthquake may occur west of Sumatra, close to the large city of Padang. We demonstrate that the presence of islands between the trench and the Sumatran coast makes earthquake-induced tsunamis especially sensitive to slip distribution on the rupture plane as wave heights at Padang may differ by more than a factor of 5 for earthquakes having the same seismic moment (magnitude) and rupture zone geometry but different slip distribution. Hence reliable prediction of tsunami wave heights for Padang cannot be provided using traditional,

earthquake-magnitude-based methods. We show, however, that such a prediction can be issued within 10 minutes of an earthquake by incorporating special types of near-field GPS arrays ("GPS-Shield"). These arrays measure both vertical and horizontal displacements and can resolve higher order features of the slip distribution on the fault than the seismic moment if placed above the rupture zone or are less than 100 km away of the rupture zone. Stations in the arrays are located as close as possible to the trench and are aligned perpendicular to the trench, i.e., parallel to the expected gradient of surface coseismic displacement. In the case of Sumatra and Java, the GPS-Shield arrays should be placed at Mentawai Islands, located between the trench and Sumatra and directly at the Sumatra and Java western coasts. We demonstrate that the "GPS-Shield" can also be applied to northern Chile, where giant earthquakes may also occur in the near future. Moreover, this concept may be applied globally to many other tsunamigenic active margins where the land is located above or close to seismogenic zones.

Agosto de 2007
Decay of aftershock activity for Japanese earthquakes
Authors: K. Z. Nanjo, B. Enescu et al
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Abstract
Aftershock decay is often correlated with the modified Omori's law: dN/dt = t -1(1 + t/c)-p , where dN/dt is the occurrence rate of aftershocks with magnitudes greater than a lower cutoff m, t is time since a mainshock, t and c are characteristic times, and p is an exponent. Extending this approach, we derive two possibilities: (1) c is a constant independent of m and t scales with m and (2) c scales with m and t is a constant independent of m. These two are tested by using aftershock sequences of four relatively recent and

large earthquakes in Japan. We first determine for each sequence the threshold magnitude above which all aftershocks are completely recorded and use only events above this magnitude. Then, visual inspection of the decay curves and statistical analysis shows that the second possibility is the better approximation for our sequences. This means that the power law decay of smaller aftershocks starts after larger times from the mainshock. We find a close association of our second result with a solution obtained for a damage mechanics model of aftershock decay. The time delays associated with aftershocks, according to the second possibility, can be understood as the times needed to nucleate microcracks (aftershocks). Our result supports the idea that the c value is a real consequence of aftershock dynamics associated with damage evolution.

Agosto de 2007
Turbulent structure in Earth's fluid core inferred from time series of geomagnetic dipole moment
Authors: Ataru Sakuraba and Yozo Hamano
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Abstract
The physical grounds are discussed for assessing turbulent structures hidden inside the Earth's liquid core by using a time series of the geomagnetic dipole moment obtained from historical and paleomagnetic data. We propose the idea that the time-averaged wavenumber

spectra of electric current density at the core-mantle boundary (CMB) and also velocity near the CMB have relation to the frequency spectrum of the dipole moment. We performed computer simulations of a magnetohydrodynamic spherical dynamo to verify this idea. We show that the frequency spectrum of the dipole moment in the simulation is similar to that inferred by paleomagnetic observations. The simulation results indicate that the underlying kinetic energy spectrum is proportional to m -5/3 in a high wavenumber range, where m is the azimuthal wavenumber. We speculate that a similar turbulent energy spectrum may exist in the Earth's core with a peak near m = 5.

Agosto de 2007
Thermal demagnetization of Martian upper crust by magma intrusion
Authors: Yoshiko Ogawa and Michael Manga
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Abstract
The absent or weak magnetic field above large Martian volcanoes may provide constraints on their formation and the carrier of magnetization. We consider the ability of magma intrusions to thermally demagnetize the shallow crust beneath

volcanoes through heat conduction and hydrothermal circulation. If magnetization is dominated by magnetite, the volume of crust that is thermally demagnetized is similar to the volume of crust emplaced since the dynamo field disappeared. If magnetization is dominated by pyrrhotite, the volume of crust that is demagnetized is typically more than twice the volume of magma intruded. Hydrothermal circulation contributes negligible additional thermal demagnetization, beyond that from heat conduction alone, for permeabilities less than O(10-15) m2.

Agosto de 2007
On the fractal nature of the magnetic field energy density in the solar wind
Authors: B. Hnat, S. C. Chapman et al
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Abstract
The solar wind exhibits scaling typical of intermittent turbulence in the statistics of in situ fluctuations in both the magnetic and velocity fields. Intriguingly, quantities not directly accessed by theories of ideal, incompressible, MHD

turbulence, such as magnetic energy density, B 2, nevertheless show evidence of simple fractal (self-affine) statistical scaling. We apply a novel statistical technique which is a sensitive discriminator of fractality to the B 2 timeseries from WIND and ACE. We show that robust fractal behaviour occurs at solar maximum and determine the scaling exponents. The probability density function (PDF) of fluctuations at solar maximum and minimum are distinct. Power law tails are seen at maximum, and the PDF is reminiscent of a Lévy flight.

Agosto de 2007
Primer descubrimiento de impacto
meteorítico en el núcleo de hielo
profundo de la Antártica (Domo C
- Epica)

Autores: Biancamaria Narcisi, Jean
Robert Petit et al
Link: Clic Aquí

Abstract
Dos distintos estratos de polvo en el núcleo de hielo del Domo C - Epica (75°06'S, 123°21'E, Plateau Oriental de la Antártica) han permitido detectar dos eventos meteoríticos individuales. Las partículas que forman parte de esos estratos han sido analizados con microsonda electrónica y muestran una peculiar textura y rasgos mineralógicos y geoquímicos similares a los observados en escombros extraterrestres encontrados en sedimentos profundos y capas polares. Estimaciones preliminares del ingreso de material cósmico en los estratos estudiados - obtenidos a partir de mediciones realizadas con el Contador Coulter - indican un flujo de 4 a 5 órdenes de magnitud superior al flujo micrometeorítico normal observado anualmente en el hielo y nieve de la Antártica Oriental. Los eventos cósmicos fueron fechados a través de modelos glacialógicos en 434 ± 6 y 481 ± 6 ka respectivamente y fueron ubicados como "Eventos de Medio-Brunhes". Este es el primer reporte de horizontes cósmicos bien fechados en núcleos de hielo profundos de la Antártica. Esta investigación mejora significativamente los registros extraterrestres de la Antártica y abre la posibilidad de nuevas perspectivas de correlación entre registros climáticos de la región polar austral.

August - 2007
First discovery of meteoritic events in deep Antarctic (EPICA-Dome C) ice cores
Authors: Biancamaria Narcisi, Jean Robert Petit et al
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Abstract
Two distinct dust layers in the EPICA-Dome C ice core (75°06'S, 123°21'E, East Antarctic Plateau) have been shown to relate to individual meteoritic events. Particles forming these layers, investigated by electron microprobe, show peculiar textural, mineralogical and geochemical features and closely resemble extraterrestrial debris in deep-sea sediments and polar caps. Preliminary estimates of cosmic debris input at the studied layers, obtained from Coulter Counter measurements, are 4-5 orders of magnitude greater than the yearly micrometeorite flux in East Antarctic snow and ice. The cosmic events are accurately dated through glaciological models at 434 ± 6 and 481 ± 6 ka, respectively and are located in the core climatic stratigraphy near the "Mid-Brunhes Event". This is the first report of well-dated cosmic horizons in deep Antarctic ice cores. It significantly improves the extraterrestrial record of Antarctica and opens new correlation perspectives between long climatic records of the South polar region.

Agosto de 2007
Impact of El Niño-Southern Oscillation on European climate
Authors: S. Brönnimann
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Abstract
El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is arguably the most important global climate pattern. While the effects in the Pacific-North American sector and the tropical regions are relatively well understood, the impacts on the circulation in the North Atlantic-European sector are discussed

more controversially. Studies from the past 10 years demonstrate that ENSO does affect European climate. However, some of the effects undergo a seasonal modulation or are nonlinear. The signal can be modified by other factors and might be nonstationary on multidecadal scales, contributing to a large interevent variability. Here I review observational and model-based evidence for ENSO's effect on European climate and discuss possible mechanisms, also including troposphere-stratosphere coupling. The paper ends with a schematic depiction of the effects and a discussion of their relevance with respect to our scientific understanding of the climate system and of their relevance for seasonal climate forecasts.

Agosto de 2007
Streaming potentials of granular media: Influence of the Dukhin and Reynolds numbers
Authors: A. Bolève, A. Crespy et al
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Abstract
Laboratory experiments are performed to understand the controlling parameters of the electrical field associated with the seepage of water through a porous material. We use seven glass bead packs with varying mean grain size in an effort to obtain a standard material for the investigation of these electrical potentials. The mean grain size of these samples is in the range 56-3000 µm. We use pure NaCl electrolytes with conductivity in the range 10-4 to 10-1 S m-1 at 25°C. The flow conditions cover viscous and inertial laminar flow conditions but not turbulent flow. In the relationship between the streaming potential coupling coefficient and the grain size, three distinct domains are defined by the values of two dimensionless numbers, the Dukhin and the

Reynolds numbers. The Dukhin number represents the ratio between the surface conductivity of the grains (due to conduction in the electrical double layer coating the surface of the grains) and the pore water electrical conductivity. At high Dukhin numbers ( 1) and low Reynolds numbers ( 1), the magnitude of the streaming potential coupling coefficient decreases with the increase of the Dukhin number and depends on the mean grain diameter (and therefore permeability) of the medium. At low Dukhin and Reynolds numbers ( 1), the streaming potential coupling coefficient becomes independent of the microstructure and is given by the well-known Helmholtz-Smoluchowski equation widely used in the literature. At high Reynolds numbers, the magnitude of the streaming potential coupling coefficient decreases with the increase of the Reynolds number in agreement with a new model developed in this paper. A numerical application is made illustrating the relation between the self-potential signal and the intensity of seepage through a leakage in an embankment.

Agosto de 2007
Frequency sensitive moment tensor inversion for light to moderate magnitude earthquakes in eastern Africa
Authors: A. Barth, F. Wenzel et al
Link: Click Here

Abstract
We provide a procedure for the routine determination of moment tensors from earthquakes with magnitudes as low as M W 4.4 using data recorded by only a few permanent seismic stations at regional to teleseismic distances. Waveforms are inverted for

automatically determined frequency pass-bands that depend on source-receiver locations as well as the earthquake magnitude. Inversion results are stable against small variations in the frequency band and provide low data variances, i.e., a good fit between observed and modelled waveform traces. The total frequency band used for our procedure ranges from 10 mHz to 29 mHz (periods of 35 s to 100 s). This enables us to determine focal mechanisms for earthquakes that were not derived previously by routine procedures of CMT or other agencies. As a case study, we determine focal mechanism solutions of 38 light to moderate magnitude earthquakes in eastern Africa between 1995 and 2002.

Agosto de 2007
Comparison of Fourier and wavelet techniques in the determination of geomagnetic field line resonances
Authors: A. Boudouridis and E. Zesta
Link: Click Here

Abstract
Fourier transforms have traditionally been used in the past for time-frequency analysis of numerous physical problems. Recently, a new time-frequency analysis technique using temporally confined base functions, called wavelets, has been applied to many problems. The advantage of the wavelets over the conventional sinusoidal functions is their time localization property,

providing information not only about the frequency or scale size of the features present but also about their location in the time series. Here we compare the performance of the two techniques on the time-frequency analysis of ground magnetometer data and especially their ability to pick up the field line resonance (FLR) frequency of a resonating magnetic field line using automated FLR determination techniques. We find that the automated techniques work better with the Fourier transforms giving less variable FLR frequency. The high temporal resolution of the wavelet transforms can be useful for detailed analyses of short time periods, but it becomes a disadvantage when it comes to automated techniques for the entire dayside magnetosphere, yielding a highly variable FLR frequency.

Agosto de 2007
Wavelet-based multifractal analysis of field scale variability in soil water retention
Authors: Takele B. Zeleke and Bing C. Si
Link: Click Here

Abstract
Better understanding of spatial variability of soil hydraulic parameters and their relationships to other soil properties is essential to scale-up measured hydraulic parameters and to improve the predictive capacity of pedotransfer functions. The objective of this study was to characterize scaling properties and the persistency of water retention parameters and soil physical properties. Soil texture, bulk density, organic carbon content, and the parameters of the van Genuchten water

retention function were determined on 128 soil cores from a 384-m transect with a sandy loam soil, located at Smeaton, SK, Canada. The wavelet transform modulus maxima, or WTMM, technique was used in the multifractal analysis. Results indicate that the fitted water retention parameters had higher small-scale variability and lower persistency than the measured soil physical properties. Of the three distinct scaling ranges identified, the middle region (8–128 m) had a multifractal-type scaling. The generalized Hurst exponent indicated that the measured soil properties were more persistent than the fitted soil hydraulic parameters. The relationships observed here imply that soil physical properties are better predictors of water retention values at larger spatial scales than at smaller scales.

Agosto de 2007
Convection under a lid of finite conductivity: Heat flux scaling and application to continents
Authors: C. Grigné, S. Labrosse et al
Link: Click Here

Abstract
A scaling law for the heat flux out of a convective fluid covered totally or partially by a finitely conducting lid is proposed. This scaling is constructed in order to quantify the heat transfer out of the Earth's mantle, taking into account the effect of the dichotomy between oceans and continents, which imposes heterogeneous thermal boundary conditions at the surface of the mantle. The effect of these heterogeneous boundary conditions is studied here using simple two-dimensional models, with the mantle

represented by an isoviscous fluid heated from below and continents represented by nondeformable lids of finite thermal conductivity set above the surface of the model. We use free-slip boundary conditions under the oceanic and continental zones in order to study in an isolated way the possible thermal effect of continents, independently of all mechanical effect. A systematic study of the heat transfer as a function of the Rayleigh number of the fluid, of the width of the lid, and of its thermal properties is carried out. We show that estimates of continental lithosphere thickness imply a strong insulating effect from continents on mantle heat loss, at least locally. The heat flux below continents was low in the past and of the order of the present one if the continental thickness has remained broadly constant over the Earth's history.

Agosto de 2007
Effects of Mount Pinatubo volcanic eruption on the hydrological cycle as an analog of geoengineering
Authors: Kevin E. Trenberth and Aiguo Dai
Link: Click Here

Abstract
The problem of global warming arises from the buildup of greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide from burning of fossil fuels and other human activities that change the composition of the atmosphere and alter outgoing longwave radiation (OLR). One geoengineering solution being proposed is to reduce the incoming

sunshine by emulating a volcanic eruption. In between the incoming solar radiation and the OLR is the entire weather and climate system and the hydrological cycle. The precipitation and streamflow records from 1950 to 2004 are examined for the effects of volcanic eruptions from El Chichón in March 1982 and Pinatubo in June 1991, taking into account changes from El Niño-Southern Oscillation. Following the eruption of Mount Pinatubo in June 1991 there was a substantial decrease in precipitation over land and a record decrease in runoff and river discharge into the ocean from October 1991-September 1992. The results suggest that major adverse effects, including drought, could arise from geoengineering solutions.

Agosto de 2007
Bayesian multivariate linear regression with application to change point models in hydrometeorological variables
Authors: O. Seidou , J. J. Asselin et al
Link: Click Here

Abstract
Multivariate linear regression is one of the most popular modeling tools in hydrology and climate sciences for explaining the link between key variables. Piecewise linear regression is not always appropriate since the relationship may experiment sudden changes due to climatic, environmental, or anthropogenic perturbations. To address this issue, a practical and general approach to the Bayesian analysis of the multivariate regression model is presented. The approach allows simultaneous single change point detection in a multivariate sample and can account for missing data in the response variables and/or in the explicative variables. It also improves on recently published change point detection methodologies by allowing a more

flexible and thus more realistic prior specification for the existence of a change and the date of change as well as for the regression parameters. The estimation of all unknown parameters is achieved by Monte Carlo Markov chain simulations. It is shown that the developed approach is able to reproduce the results of Rasmussen (2001) as well as those of Perreault et al. (2000a, 2000b). Furthermore, two of the examples provided in the paper show that the proposed methodology can readily be applied to some problems that cannot be addressed by any of the above-mentioned approaches because of limiting model structure and/or restrictive prior assumptions. The first of these examples deals with single change point detection in the multivariate linear relationship between mean basin-scale precipitation at different periods of the year and the summer-autumn flood peaks of the Broadback River located in northern Quebec, Canada. The second one addresses the problem of missing data estimation with uncertainty assessment in multisite streamflow records with a possible simultaneous shift in mean streamflow values that occurred at an unknown date.

Julio de 2007
Global mantle flow and the development of seismic anisotropy: Differences between the oceanic and continental upper mantle
Authors: Clinton P. Conrad, Mark D. Behn et al
Link: Click Here

Abstract
Viscous shear in the asthenosphere accommodates relative motion between Earth's surface plates and underlying mantle, generating lattice-preferred orientation (LPO) in olivine aggregates and a seismically anisotropic fabric. Because this fabric develops with the evolving mantle flow field, observations of seismic anisotropy can constrain asthenospheric flow patterns if the contribution of fossil lithospheric anisotropy is small. We use global viscous mantle flow models to characterize the relationship between asthenospheric deformation and LPO and compare the predicted pattern of anisotropy to a global compilation of observed

shear wave splitting measurements. For strain axis (ISA, the LPO after infinite deformation) faster than the ISA changes along flow lines. Thus we expect the ISA to approximate LPO throughout most of the asthenosphere, greatly simplifying LPO predictions because strain integration along flow lines is unnecessary. Approximating LPO with the ISA and assuming A-type fabric (olivine a axis parallel to ISA), we find that mantle flow driven by both plate motions and mantle density heterogeneity successfully predicts oceanic anisotropy (average misfit 13°). Continental anisotropy is less well fit (average misfit 41°), but lateral variations in lithospheric thickness improve the fit in some continental areas. This suggests that asthenospheric anisotropy contributes to shear wave splitting for both continents and oceans but is overlain by a stronger layer of lithospheric anisotropy for continents. The contribution of the oceanic lithosphere is likely smaller because it is thinner, younger, and less deformed than its continental counterpart.

Julio de 2007
A correlated fracture network: Modeling and percolation properties
Authors: Mohsen Masihi and Peter R. King
Link: Click Here

Abstract
We present a model of fractures based on the idea that the elastic free energy due to the fracture density follows a Boltzmann distribution. The resulting expression for the spatial correlation in the displacement of fractures is used as an objective function in a simulated annealing algorithm to generate realizations of correlated

fracture networks. This approach determines the appropriate statistical distribution for the fractures (e.g., length distribution) rather than imposing them as is done conventionally. The model consists of two families of parallel fractures which are perpendicular under isotropic conditions. There also exists a positive correlation between the position of fractures and their lengths; that is, large fractures have their neighbors located at greater distance than small fractures. Finally, we use the realizations of correlated fracture networks in the basic methodology of the percolation approach and investigate the model percolation properties. In particular, the scaling exponents of the connectivity are found to be different from the conventional, uncorrelated values.

Julio de 2007
Global 30-240 keV proton precipitation in the 17-18 April 2002 geomagnetic storms: 3. Impact on the ionosphere and thermosphere
Authors: Xiaohua Fang, Aaron J. Ridley et al
Link: Click Here

Abstract
NOAA Polar Orbiting Environmental Satellites 30-240 keV proton precipitation measurements in the 17-18 April 2002 geomagnetic storms are used with a Monte Carlo ion transport model to obtain ionization and heating rates that are subsequently fed into the Global Ionosphere Thermosphere Model to investigate the proton impact on the ionosphere and thermosphere. Simulation results show that after the addition of proton precipitation in a moderate geomagnetic storm (specifically, the one during mid-April 2002), there are places at low altitudes (100-120 km) on the nightside

undergoing significant increases in electron and nitric oxide (NO) densities. The enhancement can be as large as several factors or even by an order of magnitude. Moreover, the temporal profiles of the enhancement in ionospheric electron densities demonstrate a direct correlation with proton precipitation imposed on the topside boundary, and there is no integral effect. This is in contrast with a continuous buildup process illustrated in the time variation of the thermospheric NO density enhancement because NO at these altitudes has a long lifetime. In addition, by including high-energy precipitating protons in a global ionosphere thermosphere coupled model, significant changes take place in the ion convection (locally around ±20%) and in the neutral winds (locally around ±40%). This study represents the first attempt to understand the global influence of proton precipitation on the ionosphere and thermosphere using in situ observational data.

Julio de 2007
Wavelet-based multifractal analysis of field scale variability in soil water retention
Authors: Takele B. Zeleke and Bing C. Si
Link: Click Here

Abstract
Better understanding of spatial variability of soil hydraulic parameters and their relationships to other soil properties is essential to scale-up measured hydraulic parameters and to improve the predictive capacity of pedotransfer functions. The objective of this study was to characterize scaling properties and the persistency of water retention parameters and soil physical properties. Soil texture, bulk density, organic carbon content,

and the parameters of the van Genuchten water retention function were determined on 128 soil cores from a 384-m transect with a sandy loam soil, located at Smeaton, SK, Canada. The wavelet transform modulus maxima, or WTMM, technique was used in the multifractal analysis. Results indicate that the fitted water retention parameters had higher small-scale variability and lower persistency than the measured soil physical properties. Of the three distinct scaling ranges identified, the middle region (8-128 m) had a multifractal-type scaling. The generalized Hurst exponent indicated that the measured soil properties were more persistent than the fitted soil hydraulic parameters. The relationships observed here imply that soil physical properties are better predictors of water retention values at larger spatial scales than at smaller scales.

Julio de 2007
Radiative transfer mixing models of meteoritic assemblages
Authors: Samuel J. Lawrence and Paul G. Lucey
Link: Click Here

Abstract
A spectral mixing model for the expected conditions on asteroid surfaces based on Hapke's radiative transfer theory for intimate mixtures is presented. This model calculates the visible/near-infrared reflectance spectrum of an intimate mixture incorporating the modal mineralogy, the mineral chemistry, the particle size, and the degree of space weathering as factors, and includes an improved treatment for the spectral effects of coarse-grained Fe,Ni-metal. This model can reproduce the spectra of geologically plausible mixtures of silicate components and meteorites with known mineral

abundances, chemistry, and particle sizes. We compare the model spectral effects of the coarse-grained Fe,Ni-metal naturally present on asteroid surfaces to the spectral effects of submicroscopic iron produced by lunar-style space weathering. The model spectral effects of large asteroid surface concentrations of coarse-grained Fe,Ni-metal are similar to the spectral effects of SMFe in some cases. We model the composition of asteroid 4 Vesta and find it to be consistent with a minimally space-weathered eucritic composition. Finally, we predict the spectral properties of some example of ordinary chondrite parent bodies. When modeled with particle sizes matching the optically dominant particle size of the lunar surface and minimal abundances of SMFe, these model ordinary chondrite parent bodies plot outside the S(IV) asteroid field on a Band area ratio versus Band I center plot. We find that a combination of larger particle sizes and increased SMFe abundances is the most effective way to move these models into the S(IV) field.

Julio de 2007
Recovering tracer test input functions from fluid electrical conductivity logging in fractured porous rocks
Authors: S. A. Mathias, A. P. Butler et al
Link: Click Here

Abstract
A radially convergent tracer test was carried out in an unconfined Chalk aquifer of Berkshire, United Kingdom. Fluorescent tracers were injected into two boreholes lying 32 m (PL10A) and 54 m (PL10B) from the abstraction hole. The tracers were also mixed with an NaCl solution so that vertical distributions of tracer within the injection

wells could be monitored using fluid electrical conductivity (FEC) logging. The breakthrough curve (BTC) from PL10A was unimodal and had a first arrival time of 14 min. The BTC from PL10B exhibited two distinct peaks and a first arrival time of just 4 min. The tracer test input functions were derived by numerically modeling the observed FEC logs of the injection wells. These were then convoluted with a conventional, Fickian matrix diffusion dual-porosity model. The results suggested that the multiple peaks were due to the way in which the tracers left the injection wells and migrated into the aquifer. FEC log inversion proved to be an effective method for predicting borehole flow data obtained by flowmeters and recovering tracer test input functions for radially convergent tracer tests.

Julio de 2007
Stochastic uncertainty analysis for solute transport in randomly heterogeneous media using a Karhunen-Loève-based moment equation approach
Authors: Gaisheng Liu , Zhiming Lu et al
Link: Click Here

Abstract
A new approach has been developed for solving solute transport problems in randomly heterogeneous media using the Karhunen-Loève-based moment equation (KLME) technique proposed by Zhang and Lu (2004). The KLME approach combines the Karhunen-Loève decomposition of the underlying random conductivity field and the perturbative and polynomial expansions of dependent variables including the hydraulic head, flow velocity, dispersion coefficient, and solute concentration. The equations obtained in this approach are sequential, and their structure is formulated in the same form as the original governing equations such that any existing simulator, such as Modular

Three-Dimensional Multispecies Transport Model for Simulation of Advection, Dispersion, and Chemical Reactions of Contaminants in Groundwater Systems (MT3DMS), can be directly applied as the solver. Through a series of two-dimensional examples, the validity of the KLME approach is evaluated against the classical Monte Carlo simulations. Results indicate that under the flow and transport conditions examined in this work, the KLME approach provides an accurate representation of the mean concentration. For the concentration variance, the accuracy of the KLME approach is good when the conductivity variance is 0.5. As the conductivity variance increases up to 1.0, the mismatch on the concentration variance becomes large, although the mean concentration can still be accurately reproduced by the KLME approach. Our results also indicate that when the conductivity variance is relatively large, neglecting the effects of the cross terms between velocity fluctuations and local dispersivities, as done in some previous studies, can produce noticeable errors, and a rigorous treatment of the dispersion terms becomes more appropriate.

Julio de 2007
Fractal parameters of individual soot particles determined using electron tomography: Implications for optical properties
Authors: Kouji Adachi , Serena H. Chung et al
Link: Click Here

Abstract
The morphologies of soot particles are both complex and important. They influence soot atmospheric lifetimes, global distributions, and climate impacts. Particles can have complex geometries with overlapping projecting parts and pores that are difficult to infer from the conventional techniques used to study them. We used electron tomography with a transmission electron microscope (TEM) to determine three-dimensional (3D) properties such as fractal dimension (D f), radius of gyration (R g), volume (V), surface area (A s), and structural coefficient (k

a) for individual soot particles from the ambient air of an Asian dust (AD) episode and from a U.S. traffic source. The respective median values of D f are 2.4 and 2.2, of R g are 274 and 251 nm, of A s/V are 9.2 and 13.7 × 107 m-1, and of k a are 0.67 and 0.71. The corresponding parameters, when calculated from 2D projections such as TEM images, are considerably less precise and commonly erroneous. Unlike other methods that have been used to derive fractal parameters, our method is applicable to particles of any D f. Using the 3D data, we estimate that mass-normalized scattering cross sections of our AD and traffic soot particles are respectively about 15 and 30 times greater than those of unaggregated spheres, which is the shape assumed in global models to estimate radiative forcing. Accurate 3D information can be used to compute more precise optical properties, which are important for estimating direct radiative forcing and improving our understanding of the climate impact of soot.

Julio de 2007
Structure and mechanical properties of faults in the North Anatolian Fault system from InSAR observations of coseismic deformation due to the 1999 Izmit (Turkey) earthquake
Authors: Yariv Hamiel and Yuri Fialko
Link: Click Here

Abstract
We study the structure and mechanical properties of faults in the North Anatolian Fault system by observing near-fault deformation induced by the 1999 M w 7.4 Izmit earthquake (Turkey). We use interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) and Global Positioning System observations to analyze the coseismic surface deformation in the near field of the Izmit rupture. The overall observed coseismic deformation is consistent with deformation predicted by a dislocation model assuming a uniform elastic crust. Previous InSAR studies revealed small-scale changes in the radar range across the nearby faults of the North Anatolian fault system (in particular, the Mudurnu Valley and Iznik faults) (e.g., Wright et al., 2001). We demonstrate that these anomalous range changes are consistent with an elastic response

of compliant fault zones to the stress perturbation induced by the Izmit earthquake. We examine the spatial variations and mechanical properties of fault zones around the Mudurnu Valley and Iznik faults using three-dimensional finite element models. In these models, we include compliant fault zones having various geometries and elastic properties and apply stress changes deduced from a kinematic slip model of the Izmit earthquake. The best fitting models suggest that the inferred fault zones have a characteristic width of a few kilometers, depth in excess of 10 km, and reductions in the effective shear modulus of about a factor of 3 compared to the surrounding rocks. The characteristic width of the best fitting fault zone models is consistent with field observations along the North Anatolian Fault system (Ambraseys, 1970). Our results are also in agreement with InSAR observations of small-scale deformation on faults in the Eastern California Shear Zone in response to the 1992 Landers and 1999 Hector Mine earthquakes (Fialko et al., 2002; Fialko, 2004). The inferred compliant fault zones likely represent intense damage and may be quite commonly associated with large crustal faults.

Julio de 2007
Capillary pressure as a unique function of electric permittivity and water saturation
Authors: Willem-Jan Plug, Evert Slob et al
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Abstract
The relation between capillary pressure (P c ) and interfacial area has been investigated by measuring P c and the electric permittivity at 100 kHz simultaneously as function of the water saturation, (S w ). Drainage and imbibition experiments have been conducted for sand-distilled water-gas (CO2/N2) systems. The main

capillary cycles and the scanning curves show hysteresis with the drainage curves displaying higher values than the imbibition curves. The 100 kHz permittivity data also show hysteresis between drainage and imbibition. Furthermore non-monotonic behavior is observed, which is analogous to the interfacial area characteristics obtained from network and micro-pore models. The permittivity behavior is attributed to polarization of the gas-water and water-solid interfaces. The permittivity hysteresis is provoked by the different phase distributions and geometries. Our results show that P c is a unique function of the permittivity and S w , and therefore this work provides clear evidence that the permittivity is a measure for the interfacial area.

Julio de 2007
Magnetic hysteresis parameters and Day plot analysis to characterize diagenetic alteration in gas hydrate-bearing sediments
Authors: S. A. Klapp, H. Klein et al
Link: Click Here

Abstract
Due to experimental difficulties grain size distributions of gas hydrate crystallites are largely unknown in natural samples. For the first time, we were able to determine grain size distributions of six natural gas hydrates for samples retrieved from the Gulf of Mexico and from Hydrate Ridge offshore Oregon from varying depths. High-energy

synchrotron radiation provides high photon fluxes as well as high penetration depth and thus allows for investigation of bulk sediment samples. The gas hydrate crystallites appear to be (log-) normally distributed in the natural samples and to be of roughly globular shape. The mean grain sizes are in the range from 300-600 µm with a tendency for bigger grains to occur in greater depth, possibly indicating a difference in the formation age. Laboratory produced methane hydrate, starting from ice and aged for 3 weeks, shows half a log-normal curve with a mean value of ~40 µm. This one order-of-magnitude smaller grain sizes suggests that care must be taken when transposing grain-size sensitive (petro-)physical data from laboratory-made gas hydrates to natural settings.

Julio de 2007
The instantaneous rate dependence in low temperature laboratory rock friction and rock deformation experiments
Authors: N. M. Beeler, T. E. Tullis et al
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Abstract
Earthquake occurrence probabilities that account for stress transfer and time-dependent failure depend on the product of the effective normal stress and a lab-derived dimensionless coefficient a. This coefficient describes the instantaneous dependence of fault strength on deformation rate, and determines the duration of precursory slip. Although an instantaneous rate dependence is observed for fracture, friction, crack growth, and low temperature plasticity in laboratory experiments, the physical origin of this effect during earthquake faulting is obscure. We examine this rate dependence in laboratory experiments on different rock types using a normalization scheme modified from one

proposed by Tullis and Weeks [1987]. We compare the instantaneous rate dependence in rock friction with rate dependence measurements from higher temperature dislocation glide experiments. The same normalization scheme is used to compare rate dependence in friction to rock fracture and to low-temperature crack growth tests. For particular weak phyllosilicate minerals, the instantaneous friction rate dependence is consistent with dislocation glide. In intact rock failure tests, for each rock type considered, the instantaneous rate dependence is the same size as for friction, suggesting a common physical origin. During subcritical crack growth in strong quartzofeldspathic and carbonate rock where glide is not possible, the instantaneous rate dependence measured during failure or creep tests at high stress has long been thought to be due to crack growth; however, direct comparison between crack growth and friction tests shows poor agreement. The crack growth rate dependence appears to be higher than the rate dependence of friction and fracture by a factor of two to three for all rock types considered.

Julio de 2007
Permeability evolution in quartz fault gouges under hydrothermal conditions
Authors: Silvio B. Giger, Eric Tenthorey et al
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Abstract
The permeability (k) of fine-grained quartz aggregates were measured in situ during hot pressing (HPing) experiments to explore the evolution of fluid transport properties of fault zones during the interseismic period. Experiments were conducted at temperatures of 150°C and between 700 and 850°C, with confining and pore water pressures of 250 and 150 MPa, respectively. Significant permeability reduction was observed between 700 and 850°C, with permeability reduction rates (r = (1/t) ln (k to /k t )), ranging from approximately 6 × 10-5 s-1 at 700°C to a maximum of approximately 7.4 × 10-4 s-1 at 850°C. Permeability decreased exponentially with time, and the permeability reduction rate increased with

increasing temperature, increasing differential stress, and decreasing grain size. Analysis of the permeability-porosity relationships indicates that permeability in the simulated gouge at high temperature shuts off at a critical porosity of 0.045 ± 0.004. The presence of microstructures, such as grain interpenetration, grain shape truncation, arrays of fluid inclusions, and development of quartz overgrowths on grains, indicate that k reduction was controlled by dissolution-precipitation creep processes. Extrapolation of the permeability reduction rates, measured in this study, to temperatures typical of the continental seismogenic regime highlights the strongly time-dependent nature of permeability in natural fault wear products at depths of nucleation of major earthquakes. Within the recurrence time of large earthquakes, quartz-rich fault zones in the fluid-active midcrustal to lower continental crustal regimes can evolve from high-permeability conduits to low-permeability seals. Episodic changes in the fluid transport properties of faults during the interseismic period are likely to impact on the pore pressure evolution of fault wear products.

Julio de 2007
Pronóstico de Tsunamis con foco en la zona de Perú-Chile mediante la utilización de un algoritmo adaptativo inverso
Autores: Alejandro Sánchez y Kwok Fai Cheung
Link: Click Aquí

Abstract
El método inverso permite realizar pronósticos de tsunamis mediante regresión de datos de nivel del mar a campo cercano v/s un conjunto de mareogramas calculados por unidad de deslizamiento de subfallas predefinidas. El presente paper describe un mejoramiento realizado al método inverso, basado en la resolución del tiempo ocupado en el movimiento de la subfalla durante el proceso de inversión. Esto proporciona adicionales grados de libertad en el análisis de regresión y contabilización de la propagación de la ruptura derivada de un terremoto tsunamigénico. Se aplicó el método a la zona de subducción ubicada entre Perú y Chile, donde los parámetros asociados al foco sísmico son deducidos a partir de estudios previos históricos y sismotectónicos. Un riguroso análisis del tsunami de Antofagasta de 1995 demuestra el incremento de la confiabilidad del algoritmo adaptativo inverso y su aplicación para pronósticos a campo cercano y campo lejano.

July 2007
Tsunami forecast using an adaptive inverse algorithm for the Peru-Chile source region
Authors: Alejandro Sánchez and Kwok Fai Cheung
Link: Click Here

Abstract
The inverse method provides tsunami forecasts through regression of near-field water-level data against a set of mareograms computed for unit slip of predetermined subfaults. The present paper describes an improvement to this inverse method by resolving the timing of subfault movement in the inversion. This provides additional degrees of freedom in the regression analysis and accounts for rupture propagation and rise time of tsunamigenic earthquakes. The method is implemented for the Peru-Chile subduction zone, in which the seismic source parameters are deduced from previous studies of seismotectonics and historical earthquakes. A hindcast analysis of the 1995 Antofagasta-Chile tsunami demonstrates the capability of the adaptive inverse algorithm in improving the near-field inversion results and consequently the far-field forecast.

Junio de 2007
Regional tectonics of the Coso geothermal area along the intracontinental plate boundary in central eastern California: Three-dimensional Vp and Vp/Vs models, spatial-temporal seismicity patterns, and seismogenic deformation
Authors: Egill Hauksson and Jeffrey Unruh
Link: Click Here

Abstract
We synthesize the tectonics of the southern Walker Lane belt and Coso Range in central eastern California using regional earthquake data. First, we invert for three-dimensional models of the V p and V p /V s structure of the upper and middle crust. Using these models, we also determine three-dimensional V s and Poisson's ratio models. The changes in seismic velocities across the region are small, except for low velocities in sedimentary basins and a ~2-km positive elevation of the basement velocities (V p > 6 km/s) beneath the southern Sierra Nevada. Localized low-V p and low-V s zones beneath the central Coso Range image a geothermal reservoir at 0- to 3-km depth, as well as distinct low-velocity anomalies in the depth range of ~8 to ~12 km. Because the V p /V s has average crustal values within this broader zone, we interpret the anomaly to indicate a zone of few percent geothermal brines extending from 8- to 12-km depth. In addition, an embedded highly localized poorly resolved zone (possibly as small as 1 km3) of slightly above average V p /V s and higher

Poisson's ratio is a tentative suggestion of a small volume percent of magma present at depth of ~10 km. Second, we relocated the seismicity in the region using absolute traveltimes and differential traveltimes determined from waveform cross correlation. The relocated seismicity forms several spatially clustered lineaments along the southeast side of the Sierra Nevada and in the Indian Wells Valley and vicinity of the Coso geothermal field, which coincide with mapped late Quaternary faults in the region. The base of seismicity shallows from a regional depth of about ~11 to ~5 km beneath the central Coso Range, which we interpret as evidence for shallowing of the brittle-ductile transition zone beneath the geothermal field. In addition to abundant background seismicity, two large earthquake swarms, located 5 to 8 km to the west of Coso, occurred in April to May 1992 and May to June 2001. Two dual main shock-aftershock sequences also occurred as follows: the 1994 sequence near Ridgecrest and the later Coso earthquake sequence from late 1996 to early 1998, with the pairs of main shocks spaced 47 days and 16 months apart, respectively. Kinematic analysis of the focal mechanisms indicates that the crustal stress loading process varies across the region. The low-V p anomaly, abundant seismicity, and crustal thinning provide quantitative evidence for the Coso region being an extensional releasing step over between two northwest-striking dextral faults: The Little Lake and Airport Lake fault zones to the south, and the Owens Valley fault to the north.

Junio de 2007
Magnetic hysteresis parameters and Day plot analysis to characterize diagenetic alteration in gas hydrate-bearing sediments
Authors: Randolph J. Enkin, Judith Baker et al
Link: Click Here

Abstract
The J meter coercivity spectrometer is a machine capable of rapid and simple measurement of magnetic hysteresis, isothermal remanence acquisition and magnetic viscosity of rocks and sediments. The J meter was used to study a suite of samples collected from strata in the gas hydrate-bearing JAPEX/JNOC/GSC Mallik 5L-38 well (69.5°N, 134.6°W) in the Mackenzie Delta of the northwestern Canadian Arctic. The Day plot of magnetic hysteresis ratios for these samples is exotic in that the points do not plot along a

hyperbola as is usually observed. Rather, they plot as a scatter which is shown to contour into vertical slices using coercivity field (HC) or saturation magnetization (JS), and horizontal slices using the relative quantity of superparamagnetism (JSPM/JS). Optical microscopy reveals that the magnetic minerals are detrital magnetite and authigenic greigite. Greigite is dominant in sands which in situ had >70% gas hydrate saturation and in silts in which gas hydrate growth was blocked by insufficient porosity. We infer that the silts were the accumulation sites for solutes which had been excluded from the pore waters in neighboring coarser-grained sediments during the course of gas hydrate formation. Consequently, we conclude that magnetic properties are related to gas hydrate-related processes, and as such, may have potential as a method of remote sensing for gas hydrate deposits.

Junio de 2007
Contemporary stress orientations in the Andean retroarc between 34°S and 39°S from borehole breakout analysis
Authors: C. Guzmán, E. Cristallini et al
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Abstract
In this paper we present the results of the analysis of borehole breakouts from 115 wells drilled within Neuquén Basin in the Andean retroarc between 34° and 39°S (Argentina). The first-order present-day stress orientation in the Andean retroarc is expected to be mainly controlled by the plate boundary forces (azimuth 80°) and the topographic forces (E-W). The obtained maximum horizontal stress (SHmax)

hasa preferred trend with a resultant direction of azimuth 88.7° and a 95% confidence interval of 13.3° consistent with the expected trend. The horizontal stress trajectory map achieved for this region shows that the SHmax along the study area is not completely uniform. To the north of Colorado River, the SHmax shows an ESE tendency interpreted as significant influenced by the topographic forces. To the south of Colorado River, SHmax has an ENE trend similar to the expected based on plate boundary forces. To the southeast of the region, a NE direction was found, probably showing a basement structural control in the stress field geometry. The stress orientations obtained for the whole region show that plate boundary forces, drag basal, and topographic forces are strongly controlling the stress direction distribution.

Junio de 2007
Source analysis of the February 12th 2007, Mw 6.0 Horseshoe earthquake: Implications for the 1755 Lisbon earthquake
Authors: Daniel Stich, Flor de Lis Mancilla et al
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Abstract
While very large earthquakes are generally confined to subduction zones, the SW Iberian margin -setting of the famous Mw 8.5-8.7, 1755 Lisbon tsunami earthquake- may be an exception to this rule. Evidence for active subduction is not conclusive here, but instead plate convergence in old oceanic lithosphere with large brittle layer thickness can account for the occurrence of great

earthquakes along moderate-length faults. We estimate the source parameters of the February 12th 2007, Horseshoe earthquake. Regional moment tensor inversion yields an Mw 6.0, reverse to strike-slip faulting source in the upper mantle. Modelling teleseismic, surface-reflected body waves (pP, pwP, sP) indicates a source depth of 40 km beneath the seafloor. Analysing apparent source time functions allows identifying the preferred fault plane (strike N245°E/ dip 55°/ rake 50°), and estimating rupture area (53 km2) and average slip (0.27 m). Scaling the source characteristics to the size of the 1755 earthquake suggests a fault length of 230-315 km, being compatible with the length of mapped faults in the area.

Junio de 2007
Magma intrusion and deformation predictions: Sensitivities to the Mogi assumptions
Author: Timothy Masterlark
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Abstract
Mogi's (1958) magma intrusion model is widely used to predict observed deformation of active volcanoes. The model simulates a small spherical expansion source (SES) embedded in a homogeneous, isotropic, Poisson-solid half-space (HIPSHS). This study computes surface displacement due to SESs at depth using a combination of analytical and finite element models (FEMs), for which the HIPSHS assumptions are not required. Interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) data suggest that Okmok volcano, Alaska, subsided more than a meter owing to lava extrusion during its 1997 eruption. Inverse methods, which use an HIPSHS model, precisely locate an SES at a depth of 3100

m beneath the center of the caldera. A series of alternative model configurations relax the combined suite of HIPSHS assumptions and sequentially isolate the effects of each assumption. Forward modeling predictions are relatively insensitive to topographic effects and layered elastic properties, somewhat sensitive to anisotropic elastic properties and Poisson's ratio, and very sensitive to the presence of weak materials within a caldera. Inverse methods, combined with analytical and FEM-generated impulse response functions, isolate the influence of each HIPSHS assumption on SES depth and pressure estimations. Results are particularly sensitive to a model configuration simulating a weak caldera, for which the estimated SES depth (4500 m) is significantly deeper than the estimate for the HIPSHS model. For deformation data having high signal-to-noise ratios, such as the co-eruption InSAR data for Okmok volcano, both forward and inverse deformation prediction errors attributed to the Mogi (1958) assumptions can greatly exceed observation uncertainties.

Junio de 2007
Generation of VLF waves in the ionosphere with coherent dual-site excitation
Authors: A. Y. Wong, E. Wei et al
Link: Click Here

Abstract
High Power Auroral Stimulation (HIPAS) Observatory and High Frequency Active Auroral

Research Program (HAARP) are two radiating facilities in the Arctic region separated by a distance of the order of VLF wavelengths. The current-carrying plasma in the E region of the ionosphere above each facility can be modulated to radiate VLF waves via HF heating. Experiments demonstrated that VLF waves can be coherently excited by these two facilities through constructive interference that is sensitive to the phase difference between these two sources.

Junio de 2007
A global index earthquake approach to probabilistic assessment of extremes
Authors: Eric M. Thompson, Laurie G. Baise et al
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Abstract
This paper applies recent innovations in flood frequency analysis to regional series of earthquake magnitudes in the global Centroid Moment Tensor (CMT) catalog from 1976 to 2005. Probability plot correlation coefficient hypothesis tests and L-moment goodness-of-fit evaluations reveal that the Gumbel (GUM) distribution provides a good approximation to the probability distribution function (pdf) of series of annual maximum (AM) earthquake magnitudes. Homogeneity tests based on the theory of L-moments further reveal that broad regions of the

globe are homogeneous in the sense that the AM observations of earthquake magnitudes are well approximated by a GUM pdf with fixed upper moments. The homogeneity of global earthquake data across broad tectonic environments enables us to pool data into a regional pdf of earthquake magnitudes, termed an index earthquake distribution. Research in hydrology has shown that frequency analysis based on pooling of data using an analogous index-flood method are much more accurate than frequency analysis based on site or region specific data. The index earthquake distribution is a dimensionless GUM distribution with fixed scale parameter so only the mean earthquake magnitude must be estimated for a region to define the frequency distribution of large earthquakes. We show how the degree of spatial homogeneity of earthquake magnitudes across broad tectonic environments can be exploited to yield improved estimates of the risk posed by extreme earthquake magnitudes.

Junio de 2007
Effect of the incorporation of FeAlO3 into MgSiO3 perovskite on the post-perovskite transition
Authors: Daisuke Nishio-Hamane, Kiyoshi Fujino et al
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Abstract
Effect of the incorporation of FeAlO3 into MgSiO3 perovskite on post-perovskite transition was investigated in Mg0.85Fe0.15Al0.15Si0.85O3 on the basis of high pressure and temperature in-situ X-ray diffraction experiments using a laser

heated diamond anvil cell. Results demonstrate that single perovskite is stable up to 143 GPa and 2500 K and perovskite and post-perovskite coexist at 157-162 GPa and 1600-2500 K for the pressure scales by Tsuchiya (2003). Post-perovskite formed as single phase at 176-178 GPa and 1600-2600 K. The post-perovskite transition pressure in Mg0.85Fe0.15Al0.15Si0.85O3 was much higher than that in MgSiO3. The present experimental study indicates that the incorporation of FeAlO3 component expands the stability region of perovskite toward high pressure. The FeAlO3 concentration may strongly influence the thickness of the D" layer at the lowermost of the lower mantle.

Junio de 2007
Interferogram formation in the presence of complex and large deformation
Authors: Sang-Ho Yun, Howard Zebker et al
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Abstract
Sierra Negra volcano in Isabela island, Galápagos, erupted from October 22 to October 30 in 2005. During the 8 days of eruption, the center of Sierra Negra's caldera subsided about 5.4 meters. Three hours prior to the onset of the eruption, an earthquake (Mw 5.4) occurred, near the caldera. Because of the large and complex phase gradient due to the huge subsidence and

the earthquake, it is difficult to form an interferogram inside the caldera that spans the eruption. The deformation is so large and spatially variable that the approximations used in existing InSAR software (ROI, ROI_PAC, DORIS, GAMMA) cannot properly coregister SAR image pairs spanning the eruption. We have developed here a two-step algorithm that can form intra-caldera interferograms from these data. The first step involves a "rubber-sheeting" SAR image coregistration. In the second step we use range offset estimates to mitigate the steep phase gradient. Using this new algorithm, we retrieve an interferogram with the best coverage to date inside the caldera of Sierra Negra.

Junio de 2007
Risks due to X-ray flares during astronaut extravehicular activity
Authors: David S. Smith and John M. Scalo
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Abstract
Solar hard X-ray flares can expose astronauts on lunar and deep space extravehicular activities (EVAs) to dangerous acute biological doses. We combine calculations of radiative transfer through shielding materials with subsequent transfer through tissue to show that hazardous doses, taken as =0.1 Gy, should occur with a probability of about 10% per 100 hours of accumulated EVA

inside the current spacesuit. The rapid onset and short duration of X-ray flares and the lack of viable precursor events require strategies for quick retreat, in contrast to solar proton events, which usually take hours to deliver significant fluence and can often be anticipated by flares or other light speed precursors. Our results contrast with the view that only particle radiation poses dangers for human space exploration. Heavy-element shields provide the most efficient protection from X-ray flares, since X rays produce no significant secondary radiation. We calculate doses due to X-ray flares behind aluminum shields and estimate the required shield masses to accompany EVA rovers.

Junio de 2007
SPADE: A rock-crushing and sample-handling system developed for Mars missions
Authors: Candice J. Hansen and David A. Paige et al
Link: Click Here

Abstract
A novel system has been developed to access and analyze the interior of rocks on Mars by crushing rocks. A miniature rock crusher has been prototyped along with a method for

distribution of the fines and fragments produced by the rock crusher to inspection and analysis instruments. The science goals and advantages of this approach are substantial with respect to understanding the geologic and climate history of Mars via the investigation of its mineralogy and petrology. The system is described in detail, and results of various performance metrics are reported. Engineering considerations, constraints on functionality, fault tolerance, and its previously-planned deployment on the 2009 Mars Science Laboratory mission are described.

Junio de 2007
Antarctic atmospheric temperature trend patterns from satellite observations
Authors: Celeste M. Johanson and Qiang Fu
Link: Click Here

Abstract
Tropospheric temperatures in the Antarctic are retrieved by linearly combining satellite-borne Microwave Sounding Unit (MSU) channels 2 and 4 observations. We show good agreement between satellite-inferred temperature trends and radiosonde observations. It is illustrated that the Antarctic troposphere has cooled in the summer and fall seasons since 1979, in agreement with

Thompson and Solomon (2002). It is shown that significant tropospheric warming prevails during Antarctic winters and springs, but we also find significant winter cooling over half of East Antarctica. We find the largest winter tropospheric warming of about 0.6 K/decade for 1979-2005 between 120°W and 180°W. Homogeneous winter tropospheric warming over Antarctica from the ERA-40 reanalysis is not supported by the MSU observations. While MSU stratospheric temperatures exhibit the expected large cooling during the spring and summer seasons, we also find large stratospheric warming over half the southern hemisphere high latitudes in the winter and spring seasons.

Junio de 2007
Electrical resistivity tomography monitoring of permafrost in solid rock walls
Authors: Michael Krautblatter and Christian Hauck
Link: Click Here

Abstract
This article describes the first attempt to conduct electrical resistivity tomography (ERT) in solid permafrost-affected rock faces. Electrode design, instrument settings, and processing routines capable of measuring under relevant conditions were developed. Four transects, with NW, NE, east (E) and south (S) aspects, were installed in solid rock faces between Matter Valley and Turtmann Valley, Switzerland, at 3070-3150 m above sea level. DC resistivity in the transects was measured repeatedly during the summer and compared by applying a time-lapse inversion routine. Resistivity values were calibrated using observed rock surface conditions of thawed,

damp rocks (1-8 kO m), deeply frozen rocks (18-80 kO m), and the transition from damp thawed to frozen rocks (8-18 kO m). Mean surface layer resistivities of transects respond to air temperatures below 0°C with a rapid increase by a factor of 1.4 to 2.9 from values of 12-15 kO m to values of 22-31 kO m. Rock layers at depths of 2-6 m display a general trend of resistivity decrease in summer, corresponding to a persistent thawing process. Their response to anomalously cool August temperatures occurs with a time lag of 2 to 4 weeks. Only transects E, NE and NW display persistent, high-resistivity permafrost bodies (>50 kO m) mostly at depths of 6-10 m. The maximum thaw depth of a continuous thawing front above permafrost is 6 m. However, the ERT results emphasize the role of heat transfer by deep-reaching cleft water systems. Thus permafrost occurs in lenses rather than layers. ERT provides rapid detection of ice and water distribution in permafrost-affected bedrock.

Junio de 2007
Dynamics of Strombolian ash plumes from thermal video: Motion, morphology, and air entrainment
Author: Matthew R. Patrick
Link: Click Here

Abstract
Imaging volcanic plumes is essential to provide an observational basis for understanding and modeling plume dynamics. During June-July 2004, ~150 Strombolian ash plumes were imaged at Stromboli volcano, Italy, with a forward looking infrared radiometer (FLIR) thermal video camera (30 Hz). Of these, 25-80 plumes were suited for different levels of quantitative analyses. In this study some simple analyses are applied to constrain basic parameters for the dynamics of Strombolian plumes during their initial ascent (~130 m). Plume rise rates covered both gas thrust (>15 m s-1) and buoyant regimes (<15 m s-1), which in turn controlled lateral spreading rates

and air entrainment rates. The half angle of lateral spreading of the plume front averaged 7.3(±1.6)° for gas thrust regimes and 13.5(±1.6)° for buoyant regimes, equating to mean air entrainment coefficients of 0.06-0.12 for gas thrust regimes and 0.22(±0.03) for buoyant regimes. These factors were also linked to plume morphologies, which included jets, starting plumes and thermals. A "rooted thermal" form was observed and presumed as an intermediary between starting plumes and discrete thermals. Plume rise could be approximated by a power law dependence with time. Rooted thermals spread and entrained air at rates approaching those of a discrete thermal but rose at a rate similar to that of a starting plume. Phenomena including helical motion and sedimentation were visible in the FLIR imagery. These results demonstrate that emergent plume behavior is progressive and highly transient. Furthermore, this study offers empirical reinforcement that entrainment dynamics are intrinsically different in (1) gas thrust versus buoyantly driven regimes and (2) plume fronts versus steady plumes.

Junio de 2007
Anomalous resistivity by fluctuation in the lower-hybrid frequency range
Authors: Peter H. Yoon and Anthony T. Y. Lui et al
Link: Click Here

Abstract
The present paper discusses anomalous resistivity that arises from electrostatic fluctuation in the lower-hybrid frequency range. The implicit

physical situation is the vicinity of the reconnection onset region. By employing locally uniform approximation, the unmagnetized ion response and fully magnetized electron linear response are computed analytically. On the basis of the response functions, anomalous transport coefficients including the anomalous resistivity are constructed. An order-of-magnitude analysis reveals that the anomalous resistivity is much higher in magnitude than the classical resistivity. Dependence of the anomalous resistivity on plasma beta and the cross-field drift speed is also discussed.

Junio de 2007
Subcritical creep compaction of quartz sand at diagenetic conditions: Effects of water and grain size
Authors: F. M. Chester, J. S. Chester et al
Link: Click Here

Abstract
Compactional creep was measured for aggregates of quartz sand that were subjected to an effective pressure of 34.5 MPa and temperature of 150°C for times up to 6 months. The effects of grain size and water on creep were determined by loading quartz aggregates of 255 ± 60, 130 ±18, and 35 ± 12 µm grain size under nominally dry, water vapor, static liquid water, and flowing water conditions. All aggregates displayed transient, decelerating creep; volume strain rates

as low as 2 × 10-10 s-1 were achieved. Volume strain rate increases systematically with decrease in grain size and increase in exposure to water at comparable strain or time. Despite the fact that the effective pressure applied was far less than the critical pressures for short-term cataclastic compaction of the quartz aggregates, grain-scale microstructures indicate that the underlying mechanism of creep is crack growth. Creep rates are explained by subcritical crack growth, as governed by water-silicate reactions at crack tips, controlled by access of water at dry and vapor conditions, and solute chemistry under static and flowing liquid water conditions. Extrapolation of the experimental results to natural compaction of quartz sand during burial and diagenesis over times of tens of millions of years indicates that porosity loss through subcritical cracking and grain rearrangement of medium-grained, porous, wet quartz sands can reach ~10%.

Junio de 2007
A fractal approach to the recession of spring hydrographs
Authors: S. Hergarten, S. Birk et al
Link: Click Here

Abstract
We present an analytical theory for the recession of spring hydrographs after precipitation events, focusing on short time scales. While other

approaches mostly predict an exponential decay over long times, we obtain a power-law decrease of discharge at short times. Similar to established well functions, the power-law exponent is related to the spatial dimension. In extension to these models, our approach relates the exponent to the dimension of a highly permeable conduit system. This dimension may take non-integer values, and we provide a geometric realization for fracture systems with fractal dimensions between two and three.

Junio de 2007
Extreme runup from the 17 July 2006 Java tsunami
Authors: Hermann M. Fritz, Widjo Kongko et al
Link: Click Here

Abstract
The 17 July 2006 magnitude Mw 7.8 earthquake off the south coast of western Java, Indonesia, generated a tsunami that effected over 300 km of coastline and killed more than 600 people, with locally focused runup heights exceeding 20 m. This slow earthquake was hardly felt on Java, and wind waves breaking masked any preceding

withdrawal of the water from the shoreline, making this tsunami difficult to detect before impact. An International Tsunami Survey Team was deployed within one week and the investigation covered more than 600 km of coastline. Measured tsunami heights and run-up distributions were uniform at 5 to 7 m along 200 km of coast; however there was a pronounced peak on the south coast of Nusa Kambangan, where the tsunami impact carved a sharp trimline in a forest at elevations up to 21 m and 1 km inland. Local flow depth exceeded 8 m along the elevated coastal plain between the beach and the hill slope. We infer that the focused tsunami and runup heights on the island suggest a possible local submarine slump or mass movement.

Junio de 2007
An analysis of the scale heights in the lower topside ionosphere based on the Arecibo incoherent scatter radar measurements
Authors: Libo Liu, Huijun Le et al
Link: Click Here

Abstract
We statistically analyze the ionospheric scale heights in the lower topside ionosphere based on the electron density (N e) and temperature profiles observed from the incoherent scatter radar (ISR) at Arecibo (293.2°E, 18.3°N), Puerto Rico. In this study, a database containing the Arecibo ISR observations from 1966 to 2002 has been used in order to investigate the diurnal and seasonal variations and solar activity dependences of the

vertical scale height (VSH), which is deduced from the electron concentration profiles defined as the value of -dh/d(ln(N e)), and the effective scale height (H m), which is defined as the scale height in the Chapman-a function to approximate the N e profiles. As a measure of the slope of the height profiles of the topside electron density, the derived VSH and H m show marked diurnal and seasonal variations and solar activity dependences. Their features are discussed in terms of thermal structures in the lower topside ionosphere. We also investigate the quantitative relationships between H m, VSH, and plasma scale height (H p) over Arecibo. The similarities and differences in these scale heights are discussed. Results suggest that both the contributions from topside temperature structure and diffusion processes can also greatly control VSH and H m through changing the profile shape.

Junio de 2007

Un Estudio numérico de las resonancias de Schumann en Marte mediante la utilización del método FDTD

Autores: A. Soriano, E. A. Navarro et al
Link: Click Aquí

Abstract
Es posible que las ondas electromagnéticas que naturalmente se forman cerca de la superficie de Marte debido a descargas electróstaticas originadas en tormentas de arena ("demonios de arena") o por actividad geológica, queden atrapadas en una cavidad resonante formada entre la superficie y la ionósfera inferior, del mismo modo como ocurre en la Tierra, amplificando de este modo las resonancias de Schumann.
En el paper se aplica la técnica FDTD (Diferencias Finitas en el Dominio del Tiempo) para modelar la atmósfera de Marte con el objetivo de determinar las frecuencias resonantes de Schumann y la aparición de campos electromagnéticos naturales en el rango ELF (Frecuencias Extremadamente Bajas).
Se proporciona una herramienta matemática para analizar la conductividad eléctrica basal de la atmósfera marciana, mediante la obtención de las frecuencias resonantes de Schumann y su dependencia de diversas fuentes de ionización junto con la actividad solar.
También se estudia el efecto que tiene el potenciamiento local de la conductividad basal a gran altitud sobre las resonancias de Schumann.
A partir de los resultados se elabora un criterio para fijar un límite superior para el modelo numérico.

Junio de 2007
A numerical study of the Schumann resonances in Mars with the FDTD method
Authors: A. Soriano, E. A. Navarro et al
Link: Click Here

Abstract
Natural electromagnetic waves generated near the surface by electrostatic discharges in dust storms (dust devils) or by geological activity could be trapped in the resonant cavity formed by the surface and lower ionosphere of Mars, as it occurs on Earth giving rise to Schumann resonances. The finite difference time-domain technique (FDTD) is applied to model the atmosphere of Mars in order to determine Schumann resonant frequencies, and natural electromagnetic fields at the extremely low frequency range (ELF). A numerical tool is provided to analyze the electrical conductivity profile of the Martian atmosphere, with the aim of obtaining Schumann resonance frequencies and their dependence on various ionization sources and solar activity. The effect of local enhancement of conductivity profile at several altitudes is also studied to understand its consequences on Schumann resonances. A criterion to fix the upper limit of the numerical model is established from these results.

Mayo de 2007
Numerical simulations of coronal hole-associated neutral solar wind as expected at the Solar Orbiter position
Authors: R. D'Amicis, S. Orsini et al
Link: Click Here

Abstract
Neutral hydrogen is indicative of the behavior of the main solar wind component formed by protons out to at least 5 R . In fact, beyond this distance, the characteristic time for charge exchange between hydrogen atoms and protons becomes larger than the coronal expansion timescale, causing the neutrals to decouple from the charged solar wind. The mean free path of the neutral component rapidly increases with the radial distance so that neutrals generated at heliocentric distances =24 R fly unperturbed and eventually are detected by Solar Orbiter (perihelion at approximately 48 R ), since their mean free path

is long enough to let neutrals reach the neutral solar wind detector. However, the computation of the differential flux shows that the bulk of the flux detected at the Solar Orbiter vantage point mainly comes from about 9 R . Neutrals retain information on the three-dimensional distribution of hydrogen at the level where they are generated as the proton velocity distribution is frozen within the generated neutrals and transferred up to the Solar Orbiter position. In the present study, we report our preliminary results from our simulation of the neutral solar wind distribution as predicted at the Solar Orbiter position and considering the evolution of a coronal hole-emerging solar wind whose major parameters are estimated by the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) Ultraviolet Coronagraph Spectrometer (UVCS) experiment. The synergy between corona remote sensing and in situ neutral particle observations will enable us to infer the degree of anisotropy, if any, in the neutral and charged coronal hydrogen close to the Sun.

Mayo de 2007
Water vapor diffusion in Mars subsurface environments
Authors: Troy L. Hudson, Oded Aharonson et al
Link: Click Here

Abstract
The diffusion coefficient of water vapor in unconsolidated porous media is measured for various soil simulants at Mars-like pressures and subzero temperatures. An experimental chamber which simultaneously reproduces a low-pressure, low-temperature, and low-humidity environment is used to monitor water flux from an ice source through a porous diffusion barrier. Experiments are performed on four types of simulants: 40-70 µm glass beads, sintered glass filter disks, 1-3 µm dust (both loose and packed), and JSC Mars-

1. A theoretical framework is presented that applies to environments that are not necessarily isothermal or isobaric. For most of our samples, we find diffusion coefficients in the range of 2.8 to 5.4 cm2 s-1 at 600 Pascal and 260 K. This range becomes 1.9-4.7 cm2 s-1 when extrapolated to a Mars-like temperature of 200 K. Our preferred value for JSC Mars-1 at 600 Pa and 200 K is 3.7 ± 0.5 cm2 s-1. The tortuosities of the glass beads is about 1.8. Packed dust displays a lower mean diffusion coefficient of 0.38 ± 0.26 cm2 s-1, which can be attributed to transition to the Knudsen regime where molecular collisions with the pore walls dominate. Values for the diffusion coefficient and the variation of the diffusion coefficient with pressure are well matched by existing models. The survival of shallow subsurface ice on Mars and the providence of diffusion barriers are considered in light of these measurements.

Mayo de 2007
Morphology, chemistry, and spectral properties of Hawaiian rock coatings and implications for Mars
Authors: Michelle E. Minitti, Catherine M. Weitz et al
Link: Click Here

Abstract
We studied coatings on five glass-rich basalts from the Big Island of Hawaii. The coatings are characterized by complex morphologies and their thicknesses range from 3 to 80 µm. Coating chemistries are predominantly hydrated silica with minor amounts of Fe-, Ti-, and S-bearing materials. Visible, near infrared, and thermal infrared spectra of the coatings demonstrate that coatings as thin as 3 µm mask the spectral character of the substrate basalt. The Fe-, Ti-, and S-bearing components control the VNIR coating

spectra. The hydrated silica component of the coatings dominates the thermal infrared coating spectra. The coating chemistries are consistent with leaching and/or dissolution of basalt glass or tephra in aqueous, acidic, and oxidizing conditions and subsequent precipitation of insoluble phases. Similar alteration conditions are thought to have occurred on Mars, making formation of such coatings on Martian lithologies feasible. Given the capabilities of various Mars missions, if coatings like those of this study were present on Martian lithologies, their chemical and/or spectral signatures would be detectable. Chemical and spectral data from thin (=10 µm), Fe- and Ti-bearing coatings are consistent with phases capable of explaining the high-SiO2 component of Type 2 surfaces previously identified in the Thermal Emission Spectrometer data set and are potentially consistent with spectral data from the Mars Exploration Rovers.

Mayo de 2007
Power variations of Schumann resonances related to El Niño and La Niña phenomena
Authors: Heng Yang and Victor P. Pasko
Link: Click Here

Abstract
A three dimensional Finite Difference Time Domain (FDTD) model of the Earth-ionosphere cavity with the realistic conductivity profile is employed to study the intensity variations of Schumann resonances (SR) associated with the El Niño and La Niña phenomena. Comparison of the results derived from our FDTD model and the

previous studies by other authors on related subjects shows that the intensity of the Schumann resonances varies with the spatial shifts of the thunderstorm regions under El Niño and La Niña conditions. Due to the different spatial field distributions of SR electrical and magnetic components in the Earth-ionosphere cavity, the different power variation patterns are clearly observed in the electrical and magnetic components with the motion of the thunderstorm center in our FDTD results. A new method is proposed to detect the shifts of the thunderstorm regions related to the El Niño and La Niña phenomena using the combination of both electrical and magnetic components of Schumann resonances at a single station.

Mayo de 2007
Geomagnetic field modeling from satellite attitude control magnetometer measurements
Authors: Jeong Woo Kim, Jong Sun Hwang et al
Link: Click Here

Abstract
To demonstrate the utility of satellite attitude control magnetometer measurements for mapping main field variations, we analyzed the three-axis magnetometer (TAM) measurements that provide attitude control for the KOMPSAT-1 satellite. Initial processing involved transforming the TAM's magnetic measurements from the Earth-Centered Inertial coordinates (ECI) to the Earth-Centered Earth-Fixed coordinates (ECEF) and then to spherical coordinates. The magnetic field of the satellite body produces symmetric

signatures in the ascending and descending orbital measurements and thus can be readily removed. Spectral correlation filtering of the orbital observations helped to eliminate the dynamic external field and solar activity noise components. The ascending and descending data were then spectrally reconstructed to estimate the total magnetic field with minimum track line noise. Correlation coefficients of 0.97 and 0.96 mark the correlation of the KOMPSAT-1 total geomagnetic intensity map with the Ørsted and IGRF2000 core magnetic field models, respectively. Power spectra from Gauss coefficients of KOMPSAT-1 model showed closeness with the models from Ørsted data and IGRF2000 model. The spherical harmonic coefficients calculated from the KOMPSAT-1 model by conjugate gradient inversion are strongly coherent with the Ørsted and IGRF2000 coefficients through degree 9.

Mayo de 2007
Influences of urban fabric on pyroclastic density currents at Pompeii (Italy): 1. Flow direction and deposition
Authors: L. Gurioli, E. Zanella et al
Link: Click Here

Abstract
To assess ways in which the products of explosive eruptions interact with human settlements, we performed volcanological and rock magnetic analyses on the deposits of the A.D. 79 eruption at the Pompeii excavations (Italy). During this eruption the Roman town of Pompeii was covered by 2.5 m of fallout pumice and then partially destroyed by pyroclastic density currents (PDCs). Anisotropy of magnetic susceptibility measurements performed on the fine matrix of the deposits allowed the quantification of the variations in flow direction and emplacement mechanisms of the parental PDCs that entered

the town. These results, integrated with volcanological field investigations, revealed that the presence of buildings, still protruding through the fallout deposits, strongly affected the distribution and accumulation of the erupted products. All of the PDCs that entered the town, even the most dilute ones, were density stratified currents in which interaction with the urban fabric occurred in the lower part of the current. The degree of interaction varied mainly as a function of obstacle height and density stratification within the current. For examples, the lower part of the EU4pf current left deposits up to 3 m thick and was able to interact with 2- to 4-m-high obstacles. However, a decrease in thickness and grain size of the deposits across the town indicates that even though the upper portion of the current was able to decouple from the lower portion, enabling it to flow over the town, it was not able to fully restore the sediment supply to the lower portion in order to maintain the deposition observed upon entry into the town.

Mayo de 2007
Improving the precision of high-rate GPS
Authors: Kristine M. Larson, Andria Bilich et al
Link: Click Here

Abstract
In order to improve the accuracy of high-rate (1 Hz) displacements for geophysical applications such as seismology it is important to reduce systematic errors at seismic frequencies. One such GPS error source that overlaps with seismic frequencies and is not currently modeled is multipath. This study investigates the frequencies and repetition of multipath in high-rate GPS time series in order to maximize the effectiveness of

techniques relying upon the geometric repeatability of GPS satellite orbits. The implementation of the aspect repeat time adjustment (ARTA) method described here uses GPS position time series to estimate time-varying and site-dependent shifts. As demonstrated for high-rate GPS sites in southern California this technique significantly reduces positioning noise at periods from 20 to 1000 s. For a 12-hour time series, ARTA methods improve the standard deviation of the north component from 8.2 to 5.1 mm and the east component from 6.3 to 4.0 mm. After applying ARTA corrections, common mode errors are removed by stacking. This method further improves the standard deviations to 3.0 and 2.6 mm for the north and east components, respectively.

Mayo de 2007
Finite-element modeling of subglacial cavities and related friction law
Authors: O. Gagliardini, D. Cohen et al
Link: Click Here

Abstract
Sliding velocity and basal drag are strongly influenced by changes in subglacial water pressure or subglacial water storage associated with opening and closing of water cavities in the lee of bedrock obstacles. To better understand this influence, finite-element simulations of ice flowing past bedrock obstacles with cavity formation are carried out for different synthetic periodic bedrock shapes. In the numerical model, the cavity roof is treated as an unknown free

surface and is part of the solution. As an improvement over earlier studies, the cases of nonlinear ice rheology and infinite bedrock slopes are treated. Our results show that the relationship between basal drag and sliding velocity, the friction law, can be easily extended from linear to nonlinear ice rheology and is bounded even for bedrocks with locally infinite slopes. Combining our results with earlier works by others, a phenomenological friction law is proposed that includes three independent parameters that depend only on the bedrock geometry. This formulation yields an upper bound of the basal drag for finite sliding velocity and a decrease in the basal drag at low effective pressure or high velocity. This law should dramatically alter results of models of temperate glaciers and should also have important repercussions on models of glacier surges and fast glacier flows.

Mayo de 2007
Thermal technique for controlling hydraulic fractures
Authors: Ruiting Wu, Leonid N. Germanovich et al
Link: Click Here

Abstract
A simple technique is introduced to control hydraulic fractures in laboratory samples. This is achieved by heating or cooling samples prior to

injecting the fracturing liquid, so that the induced thermal stresses govern the fracture orientation. We developed a simple theoretical model to parameterize experiments in laboratory settings and for materials that are different from ours. We also illustrate the utility of the technique with two examples: (1) mixed mode I+III hydraulic fracture propagation and (2) visualization of the fluid flow in the created fracture. In some cases, a similar technique may also be applicable for controlling the orientation of hydraulic fractures in field conditions.

Mayo de 2007
Precipitation of southwestern Canada: Wavelet, scaling, multifractal analysis, and teleconnection to climate anomalies
Authors: Thian Yew Gan, Adam Kenea Gobena et al
Link: Click Here

Abstract
Using wavelets, statistically significant interannual and interdecadal oscillations that occurred haphazardly have been detected in southwestern (SW) Canadian seasonal precipitation anomalies. At interannual scales, station precipitation anomalies show unstable relations with large-scale climate anomalies such as the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), Pacific/North America (PNA), East Pacific (EP) and West Pacific (WP) patterns, and the Central North Pacific (CNP) index. Not all significant precipitation activities could be matched by similar activities in one or more climate anomalies considered. Inconsistent wavelet coherence and phase difference between the leading principal components (PC) of regional precipitation anomalies and climate indices as well as weak Pearson's correlations between band-passed precipitation PCs and climate indices for the 2-3 year and 3-8 year scales provide supporting evidence for unstable

precipitation climate relationships at the interannual scale. On the other hand, interdecadal precipitation variability is mainly associated with low-frequency variability in CNP, PDO and ENSO. Composite analysis of winter precipitation shows that ENSO, PDO, PNA and WP offer better separation of positive and negative precipitation anomalies than EP and CNP. However, the effect of ENSO is found to be stronger than the others. Precipitation power spectrum plots mostly reveal two linear decay regions of different slopes separated by a breakpoint located approximately at 20 to 30 days, while empirical probability plots reveal power law behavior and hyperbolic intermittency in these data, whose correlation dimensions (D 2) are between 8 and 9. Different multifractal behaviors are observed among stations because the amount of different rainfall generating mechanisms vary from station to station, as reflected by the haphazard nature of oscillations detected in most precipitation data. Although the leading PCs of winter regional precipitation show modest correlations at zero- to three-season lead times with ENSO and PDO indices, the high D2 values and absence of consistent interannual precipitation activities suggest that prediction of SW Canadian seasonal precipitation by teleconnection with climate indices is likely limited. Adding other predictor fields such as sea surface temperature and/or sea level pressure may be useful.

Mayo de 2007
Meteoric smoke concentration in the Vostok ice core estimated from superparamagnetic relaxation and some consequences for estimates of Earth accretion rate
Authors: Luca Lanci, Dennis V. Kent et al
Link: Click Here

Abstract
We measured the magnetization of glacial and interglacial ice from the Vostok core to estimate the meteoric smoke concentration in Antarctic ice.

We have found that, within the uncertainty of the method, the smoke concentration in ice in Antarctica is equivalent to that previously measured in Greenland ice. The virtually identical smoke concentrations despite the different ice accumulation rates in Greenland and Antarctica suggest that wet deposition is the main deposition mechanism for such ultra-small particles. Given the typical scavenging ratios for atmospheric aerosols, this would imply that previous estimates of accretion rate based on dry deposition are likely to be appreciably overestimated.

Mayo de 2007
Role of topography in isotherm perturbation: Apatite (U-Th)/He and fission track results from the Malta tunnel, Tauern Window, Austria
Authors: Jurgen P. T. Foeken, Cristina Persanoet al
Link: Click Here

Abstract
Apatite (U-Th)/He and fission track age determinations of samples from a 20-km-long, near-horizontal tunnel in the Hochalm-Ankogel Dome (eastern Tauern Window, Austria) are presented in order to determine the role of (paleo)-topography in perturbing isotherms in the shallow crust. Apatite fission track ages (26-8 Ma) show no systematic correlation with distance along the tunnel or elevation. Two age components in the fission track data indicate cooling through ~120°C at approximately 20 Ma and ~80°C at approximately 6 Ma. Surface and

tunnel (U-Th)/He ages (17-9 Ma and 13-5 Ma, respectively) are consistently younger than the equivalent fission track ages. (U-Th)/He ages vary systematically along the tunnel with older ages at the northern and southern tunnel portals and younger ages in the central section. Geological factors (faulting, lithology) appear to have had little effect on this age distribution. The (U-Th)/He age pattern is inconsistent with rock cooling underneath the present-day Hochalm-Ankogel Dome topography. The age minimum is interpreted to coincide with a paleotopographic maximum in the Hochalm-Ankogel Dome and suggests that the 40-60°C isotherms were warped sufficiently to affect apatite (U-Th)/He ages. The tunnel apatite (U-Th)/He ages match synthetic He ages derived from a two-dimensional numerical model of landscape evolution. Integrating the thermal model results with the data allows the relief development to be constrained and we calculate that the present-day Hochalm-Ankogel Dome topography was formed at 7 to 10 Ma.

Mayo de 2007
Parkfield earthquakes: Characteristic or complementary?
Authors: Susana Custódio and Ralph J. Archuleta
Link: Click Here

Abstract
We model the two most recent M w ~ 6 Parkfield, California, earthquakes, which occurred in 1966 and 2004, from a nonlinear global inversion of near-fault strong motion seismograms. Our rupture models are characterized by spatially variable slip amplitude and rake, rupture velocity, and risetime. The rupture models indicate that the two earthquakes generated slip in regions of the fault that are not identical, as earlier suggested. Given the sparse seismic data set available for

the 1966 earthquake, we conduct a series of tests to verify our results: (1) we perform synthetic tests in order to study the resolution of the 1966 seismic data set; (2) we perform an inversion of the 2004 earthquake using a data set equivalent to the 1966 earthquake; and (3) we model the 1966 data set under the a priori assumption that it was similar to the 2004 earthquake. All of the tests, as well as independent observations, indicate that slip during the 1966 and 2004 Parkfield earthquakes occurred in different regions of the fault. This result implies that regions of a fault that are frictionally locked may remain locked even during a main shock (moderate-size earthquake). In this scenario, large earthquakes occur when all the locked regions of a fault are "synchronized" and ready to slip at the same time.

Mayo de 2007
Scrubbing process and chemical equilibria controlling the composition of light hydrocarbons in natural gas discharges: An example from the geothermal fields of El Salvador
Authors: F. Tassi, O. Vaselli et al
Link: Click Here

Abstract
The compositional features of fluids from both fumarolic discharges and productive geothermal wells of Ahuachapan-Chipilapa, Berlin-Chinameca, and San Vicente geothermal systems (El Salvador) are described and discussed in order to investigate the complex geochemical interactions involving geothermal fluids within the shallowest part of the hydrothermal circulation pathways. Our results highlight that secondary processes are able to strongly affect and modify the chemical characteristics of geothermal gases once they discharge to the surface as natural manifestations, mainly in relation to the chemical-physical properties of each gas species. The effects of both gas dissolution in shallow aquifers

and gas-water-rock chemical interactions on gas discharge composition make it difficult to get a correct evaluation of the thermodynamic conditions that characterize the geothermal reservoirs by applying the common geoindicators based on the chemical equilibria of the H2O-CO2-H2-CH4-CO system. Differently, the composition of the C1-C2-C3 alkanes and the C3 and C4 alkane-alkene pair, established within the geothermal reservoirs under the control of chemical reactions, remains stable in samples collected from discharging gas vents. These results suggest that the relative abundances of hydrocarbons characterized by similar structure and molecular size seem to be mainly regulated by the diffusion velocity of gases through the liquid-dominated system. Therefore the chemical features of the light organic gas fraction of naturally discharging fluids can be successfully utilized for the evaluation of geothermal reservoir temperatures and redox conditions, providing useful indications in terms of geothermal exploration and exploitation. On this basis, the distribution, speciation, and relative abundances of light hydrocarbons can also be considered highly promising in geochemical monitoring of active volcanic systems.

Mayo de 2007
Geometry and P and S velocity structure of the "African Anomaly"
Authors: Yi Wang and Lianxing Wen
Link: Click Here

Abstract
We constrain the geometry and P and S velocity structure of a low-velocity anomaly in the lower mantle beneath southern Africa (we term it the "African Anomaly") on the basis of forward traveltime and waveform modeling of seismic data sampling a great arc across the anomaly from the East Pacific Rise to the Japan Sea. Our collected data set consists of direct S, direct P, Sdiff, ScS, PcP, SKS, and SKKS phases recorded by three temporary broadband PASSCAL seismic arrays deployed in Africa between 1994 and 2002, the Tanzania seismic array (1994-1995), the Kaapvaal seismic array (1997-1999), and the Ethiopia/Kenya seismic array (2000-2002) for earthquakes occurring in the East Pacific Rise, Drake Passage, South Sandwich islands, Iran, Hindu Kush, Xinjiang, and the Japan Sea. The seismic data provide excellent sampling of the African Anomaly in the lower mantle along the

specific great arc. In order to accurately account for the contributions from the African Anomaly, we relocate all the events using a global seismic shear velocity tomographic model and seismic data recorded by the Global Seismographic Network and correct for the contributions from the seismic heterogeneities outside the African Anomaly. The seismic observations suggest that the African Anomaly locally extends 1300 km above the core-mantle boundary beneath southern Africa (around -25°N, 27°E) and exhibits a "bell-like" geometry with both the southwestern and the northeastern flanks dipping toward its center with the lateral dimension of the anomaly increasing with depth. The base is about 4000 km wide extending broadly in both the southwestward and the northeastward directions. The seismic data can best be explained by a shear velocity structure with average velocity decreases of -5% in the base and -2% to -3% in the mid-lower mantle above the base, and a compressional velocity structure with a uniform S to P velocity perturbation ratio of 3:1 for the entire African Anomaly. These geometric and velocity features suggest that the mid-lower mantle portion of the African Anomaly is an integral component of the very low velocity province and the African Anomaly is compositionally distinct and geologically stable.

Mayo de 2007
Seismic velocity reductions caused by the 2003 Tokachi-Oki earthquake
Authors: Justin L. Rubinstein, Naoki Uchida et al
Link: Click Here

Abstract
We use four repeating earthquake sequences located near Hokkaido to identify velocity changes caused by the M w 8.0 2003 Tokachi-Oki earthquake. Using a moving window cross-correlation technique, we identify delays in the arrival time of seismic waves that accumulate linearly with time into the seismogram. This behavior is indicative of multiple scattering within

a medium where the seismic velocity has been reduced. For all of our earthquake-receiver geometries, we find evidence of significant velocity reductions close to the receiver. The correlation of the size of the velocity reductions with both strong shaking and site characteristics suggests that these velocity reductions are caused by damage to near-surface materials created by nonlinear strong ground motion. For earthquake/receiver geometries where the seismic waves cross the Tokachi-Oki rupture zone, we identify particularly large reductions in velocity as a result of the earthquake. For these geometries, we believe that the rupture zone of the Tokachi-Oki earthquake or the shallow crust above it represents a second region where seismic velocities are reduced as a result of the main shock.

Mayo de 2007
From steep-slope volcano to flat caldera floor
Authors: Stéphanie Barde-Cabusson and Olivier Merle
Link: Click Here

Abstract
Most laboratory experiments of caldera collapse have dealt with reservoir emptying below a flat-lying overburden without an overlying analogue volcanic edifice on top. The overload and the role of topography are then neglected so that the final

flat floor within the caldera is directly linked to the initial one. In addition, caldera subsidence is commonly attributed to the collapse of the top of a magma chamber linked to eruptions delivering large amounts of volcanic products. Analogue experiments show that the deformation of a weak clay-rich core resulting from the hydrothermal alteration in a volcanic edifice can, in certain conditions, reproduce the structures of a caldera. In particular, it is a way to explain the flat floor of a caldera when resurfacing resulting from new eruptions or destructive processes seems unlikely.

Mayo de 2007
Outer rise stress changes related to the subduction of the Juan Fernandez Ridge, central Chile
Authors: V. Clouard , J. Campos et al
Link: Click Here

Abstract
Although outer rise seismicity is less common than interplate seismicity in subduction zones, a significant level of seismicity has occurred between the Nazca trench and Juan Fernandez Ridge, in central Chile, during the past 20 years. We first study the 9 April 2001 (Mw = 7.0) event and determine its focal mechanism, depth, and source time function by body-waveform inversion from teleseismic broadband data. The results indicate tensional faulting in the upper part of the mechanical lithosphere. Its strike (41°) is similar

to those observed in events down dip of the slab at about 100 km depth, which could indicate that these earthquakes occur in preexisting structures formed at the trench. Compressive outer rise events have also occurred during the 1980s in front of the rupture zone of the 1985 Mw 7.8 Valparaíso Earthquake. To understand their relation with the state of stress of the lithosphere, we construct yield stress envelopes of the oceanic lithosphere, including static and dynamic stresses. Dynamic stresses are due either to slab pull, ridge push, resistive, and drag forces. We explain the sequence of compressive and tensional events by the accumulation of stress prior to 1985 when the subduction is assumed to be locked and after by the unlockage of the subduction by the Valparaíso interplate event. The yield stress envelope analysis enables us to quantify the accumulation of compressive forces before 1985 and the tensional force after.

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